Revision 8.1 records that the Turn 19 s=10 scripts, screened-set identities, task definitions, and raw terminal records are missing, so its elimination remains pending reconstruction. The serialized s=9 catalogs and exact-cross contract support a conservative exhaustive model split, followed by a search for a parameterized inequality that avoids indefinite one-layer-at-a-time enumeration.
Route status · Narrowed routeExtremal set theory · finite lattices · union-closed families
Union-Closed Sets (Frankl) Conjecture
Collaboration betaMust every finite nontrivial union-closed family contain an element that belongs to at least half of its sets?
Known results and sources
Research problem
Exact mathematical statement
A finite family of sets is union-closed if
Frankl’s conjecture says that every finite nontrivial union-closed family contains a ground-set element belonging to at least half of its members. Writing
the desired conclusion is
The governing source explicitly states that the full conjecture is not proved.
Problem infographic
Problem at a glance

Current mathematical picture
Where work on Union-Closed Sets (Frankl) Conjecture stands
Selected route highlights from the mathematical source. This is not yet a complete mathematical inventory.
The source reports 270 exact-infeasibility tasks closing (30,11,13), conditional on inherited ledger assumptions and independent model and solver audit.
Evidence posture · Source-reported route statement · dependencies incompleteWe corrected the cited passages. We removed a duplicate or outdated task or route step. We updated the highlighted open task or route. The mathematical claims and their status did not change.
Reader-facing record corrected; mathematics unchangedWork mapped so far
Union-Closed Sets (Frankl) Conjecture in numbers
- Argument development
- 4,830 · 82%
- Explored or eliminated routes
- 172 · 3%
- Computational analysis
- 197 · 3%
- Open obligations
- 365 · 6%
- Definitions and setup
- 328 · 6%
How this is measured
This measures retained mathematical investigation, not proximity to a proof. Code, data, logs, repeated text, operational instructions, and generated presentation copy are excluded.
Recommended next task
Complete the exact-cross analysis of the one-lift (30,12,14,9) layer.
Suggested move: Use the source’s three incidence cases and serialized catalogs, preserve the exact nested-target two-state behavior, and record an exhaustive disjoint task cover before drawing any exclusion.
What would count as progress
- Supply a complete argument with every imported premise identified.
- Survive an independent attempt to falsify the proposed step.
Argument map and routes
How the current approaches connect
Claims, reductions, open questions, active routes, and narrowed alternatives in one mathematical map.
Visible working map
Research route map
Selected claims, active routes, useful failures, and open questions from the current research map. Arrows appear only for explicitly recorded relationships.
Scroll horizontally to explore the route
Working overview, not proof. The map shows selected recorded relationships; more nodes or edges do not establish correctness or completion.
Explored alternatives
Other routes
Revision 8.1 records that the Turn 19 s=10 scripts, screened-set identities, task definitions, and raw terminal records are missing, so its elimination remains pending reconstruction. The serialized s=9 catalogs and exact-cross contract support a conservative exhaustive model split, followed by a search for a parameterized inequality that avoids indefinite one-layer-at-a-time enumeration.
Route status · Narrowed routeMore ways to contribute
Open questions
Additional prepared tasks for exploring this research frontier.
Any future finite exclusion must prove exhaustive coverage and classify every feasible, infeasible, timeout, unknown, numerical-error, and process-error outcome.
Suggested move: Resolve the exact source-reported obligation without treating it as an established negative result.Sourced mathematical context
The known mathematical landscape
What the literature has established
Selected external milestones in reverse chronological order, with their evidence posture.
Peer reviewedAlweiss, Huang, and Sellke published the explicit lower bound (3−√5)/2 for the maximum element frequency.[3] Peer reviewedYu and Cambie derived computable dimension-free optimization bounds and evaluated a rigorous improvement near 0.38234.[4] PreprintGilmer proved the first absolute constant lower bound, guaranteeing an element in at least 0.01 of the sets.[2] Historical sourceThe conjecture is attributed to Peter Frankl in 1979.[1]
Mathematical neighborhood
Related results and reusable starting points
A universal 0.01 frequency bound was the first dimension-free constant result but is far below the conjectured one-half threshold.
[2]Modern entropy and coupling methods guarantee a frequency slightly above 0.382; they do not reach one-half.
[3][4]Formal and computational footholds
Existing statements, libraries, computations, and datasets that can shorten the next serious attempt.
- computation · source linked; not reproduced by ProofAtlasExplicit inequality check in the 0.381966 bound
The published proof records that one explicit one-variable inequality is checked computationally; this supports the weaker constant bound, not the full conjecture.
[3]
Formalization opportunities
Lean work can make these reusable foundations precise without being presented as a proof of the core problem.
- Formalization targetNo statement-aligned formal proof of the universal one-half conjecture was identified.
- Formalization targetThe modern entropy and coupling results would require substantial probability and information-theory infrastructure for end-to-end formalization.
Research-record corrections
What changed in the research record
These notes describe corrections to cited passages, highlighted tasks, or connections between claims. The mathematical claims and their status did not change.
Corrected the research recordCorrection note
The initial argument structure appears separately. Uploads, model runs, and presentation changes do not count as mathematical updates.
Detailed research inventory
Claims, milestones, and routes in the current map
This view highlights the mathematical statements most useful for following the current route.
- theorem candidate
1 of 6 1 - reduction
2 of 6 2 - lemma
1 of 6 1 - equivalence
2 of 6 2
Current research mapThe conjecture, retained reductions, explored limitations, and open questions represented in this overview.19 displayed rows · 1 route included
- retained route statementSome element should occur in at least half the sets
- retained route statementCurrent reductionintermediate
- retained route statementClosing targetintermediate
- retained route statementExact half-frequency statementintermediate
- retained route statementFinite-lattice equivalenceintermediate
- retained route statementConditional closure of one d=30 branchintermediate
- Recorded relationshipThe source reports this as a route toward the conjecture; missing or unaudited premises remain and the reduction does not itself prove the target.supports · reported by source
- Recorded relationshipThis source-reported claim supports the retained route only within its stated, unaudited scope.supports · reported by source
- Recorded relationshipThis source-reported claim supports the retained route only within its stated, unaudited scope.supports · reported by source
- Recorded relationshipThis source-reported claim supports the retained route only within its stated, unaudited scope.supports · reported by source
- DerivationThe source reports that completing the closing target would advance the reduction to the main conjecture; this remains an informal route, not a verified derivation.proposed
- Useful failurePromotion of incomplete or incorrectly scoped finite ledgersreported failure
- Research targetComplete the exact-cross analysis of the one-lift (30,12,14,9) layer.open
- Research targetReconstruct the reported no-lift (30,12,14,10) elimination.open
- Research targetReplace layer-by-layer computation with a parameterized inequality where possible.open
- Research targets=10 reconstruction gapsuperseded
- Research targets=9 exact-cross frontiersuperseded
- Research targetExhaustive finite-evidence disciplineopen
- Narrowed routePromotion of incomplete or incorrectly scoped finite ledgersRevision 8.1 records that the Turn 19 s=10 scripts, screened-set identities, task definitions, and raw terminal records are missing, so its elimination remains pending reconstruction. The serialized s=9 catalogs and exact-cross contract support a conservative exhaustive model split, followed by a search for a parameterized inequality that avoids indefinite one-layer-at-a-time enumeration.
How to interpret these counts
A statement may be a lemma, conditional reduction, special case, documented limitation, or open target. These counts describe the work's structure; they do not estimate distance to a proof.
Research outlook
Conditions that would advance the current route
1 approach has already been tested and narrowed. The task above is the current priority within the larger open route.
A result can change the outlook by closing the bridge, narrowing its scope, or showing that the route cannot work.
- Supply a complete argument with every imported premise identified.
- Survive an independent attempt to falsify the proposed step.
Continue the mathematics
Contribute
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Union-Closed Sets (Frankl) Conjecture · ready to start
Receive an update when a route advances, an obstacle is clarified, or new evidence changes the mathematical picture.
Must every finite nontrivial union-closed family contain an element that belongs to at least half of its sets?
- Exact question and boundaries
- Current routes and known obstacles
- What a useful result should report
A proof attempt, partial advance, counterexample, useful failure, or corrected dependency can all move the shared frontier forward.
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Sources and references4 cited works · next context review by Nov 14, 2026
The mathematical context was checked on Aug 15, 2026. Status can be refreshed sooner after a material result or claim.
- 1Union-closed familiespeer reviewed result · David Duffus, Peter Frankl, Vojtěch Rödl · Journal of Combinatorial Theory, Series A · 1992 · DOI 10.1016/0097-3165(92)90068-6 · accessed Aug 15, 2026
- 2A constant lower bound for the union-closed sets conjecturepreprint · Justin Gilmer · arXiv · 2022-11-16 · ARXIV 2211.09055 · accessed Aug 15, 2026
- 3Improved Lower Bound for Frankl's Union-Closed Sets Conjecturepeer reviewed result · Ryan Alweiss, Brice Huang, Mark Sellke · The Electronic Journal of Combinatorics · 2024-09-20 · ARXIV 2211.11731 · DOI 10.37236/12232 · accessed Aug 15, 2026
- 4Dimension-Free Bounds for the Union-Closed Sets Conjecturepeer reviewed result · Lei Yu, Stijn Cambie · Entropy · 2023 · ARXIV 2212.00658 · DOI 10.3390/e25050767 · accessed Aug 15, 2026
Important qualifications
- Scoped to primary papers for the 1979 attribution and the modern dimension-free lower-bound program; special-case literature was not exhaustively surveyed.
- The universal one-half statement is kept distinct from lower bounds near 0.382 and from results for restricted families.
- A 2024 arXiv manuscript claiming a complete proof was not treated as established resolution.
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